Archives of Gerontology and Geriatrics
Volume 51, Issue 1 , Pages 68-75, July 2010

Profiles of functioning as predictors of mortality in old age: The advantage of a configurative approach

  • Dov Shmotkin

      Affiliations

    • Department of Psychology, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv 69978, Israel
    • The Herczeg Institute on Aging, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv 69978, Israel
    • Corresponding Author InformationCorresponding author at: Department of Psychology, Tel.: Aviv University, Tel Aviv 69978, Israel. Tel.: +972 3 640 8937; fax: +972 3 967 0381.
  • ,
  • Liat Lerner-Geva

      Affiliations

    • The Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Chaim Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer 52621, Israel
  • ,
  • Jiska Cohen-Mansfield

      Affiliations

    • The Herczeg Institute on Aging, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv 69978, Israel
    • Department of Health Promotion, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv 69978, Israel
  • ,
  • Tzvia Blumstein

      Affiliations

    • The Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Chaim Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer 52621, Israel
  • ,
  • Nitza Eyal

      Affiliations

    • The Herczeg Institute on Aging, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv 69978, Israel
  • ,
  • Aviva Shorek

      Affiliations

    • The Herczeg Institute on Aging, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv 69978, Israel
  • ,
  • Gitit Kave

      Affiliations

    • The Herczeg Institute on Aging, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv 69978, Israel
  • ,
  • Haim Hazan

      Affiliations

    • The Herczeg Institute on Aging, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv 69978, Israel
    • Department of Sociology and Anthropology, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv 69978, Israel

Received 8 December 2008; received in revised form 22 July 2009; accepted 30 July 2009. published online 14 September 2009.

Abstract 

This study proposes the concept of functioning profile, by which one's status is summarized across essential functioning domains, and validates its efficiency in predicting mortality. The study analyzed data of two cohorts of community-dwelling Israelis aged 75 and over, nationally sampled in 1989 (N=1200) and 1999 (N=421), respectively. Eight groups with differential profiles reflected higher versus lower levels of functioning in three domains: physical (activities of daily living), cognitive (Orientation–Memory–Concentration test=OMC) and affective (depressive symptoms). The analyses predicted mortality within 4 years, adjusting for sociodemographic and health variables. Relative to the optimal profile, most functioning profiles represented groups having elevated mortality risks of considerable consistency across cohorts. Physical functioning was the most predictive component in the profiles, but its combinations with cognitive and affective functioning produced unique contributions to mortality prediction. The study suggests that the functioning profile, representing a person-centered configurative approach (i.e., one that considers the person's combined standing on key factors), is a useful concept for delineating risk groups in late life and evaluating risk factors in predicting mortality.

Keywords: Mortality prediction, Old age, Functioning profile, Risk groups, Person-centered methodology

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PII: S0167-4943(09)00179-4

doi:10.1016/j.archger.2009.07.010

Archives of Gerontology and Geriatrics
Volume 51, Issue 1 , Pages 68-75, July 2010